NSF award 2536378 · Emory University

Empirical Foundations of Deterrence

Final report due

28 January 2028

in 467 days · The award ends on 30 September 2027.

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award ending 2027-09-30 · Research.gov
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award ending 2027-09-30 · Research.gov
PAPPG 24-1: “at least 45 days prior to the end date”
No-cost extension notice20 Sep 2027in 337 days
award ending 2027-09-30 · Research.gov
PAPPG 24-1: “at least ten calendar days prior to the end date”
Final report due28 Jan 2028in 467 days
award ending 2027-09-30 · Research.gov
PAPPG 24-1: “no later than 120-days following the end date of the award”
Project outcomes report due28 Jan 2028in 467 days
award ending 2027-09-30 · Research.gov
PAPPG 24-1: “no later than 120 days following the end date”
Award is closed out28 Jan 2028in 467 days
award ending 2027-09-30 · Research.gov
PAPPG 24-1: “financially closed out 120 days after their expiration date”

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NSF lists this award's end date as 30 September 2027.
NSF rules say the final report is due no later than 120 days after that.
So the final report is due by 28 January 2028.

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Award card

Award number: 2536378
Period of support: 1 Oct 2025 – 30 Sep 2027
Amount: $514,277
Awardee: Emory University, Atlanta, GA
Program: Security & Preparedness
Directorate: SBE

Abstract

Part 1: This project employs modern social science methods to investigate the micro-foundations of deterrence, providing rigorous, causal evidence on the effectiveness of different strategies. Deterrence is a critical component of security, yet there remains significant uncertainty about when and how defensive actions can prevent conflicts from escalating. By integrating quasi-experimental designs, randomized…

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