NSF award 2612741 · University of Texas at Austin

A probabilistic fault system model based on a cross-validated, second-order damage evolution framework

Final report due

28 November 2029

in 1,137 days · The award ends on 31 July 2029.

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award ending 2029-07-31 · Research.gov
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Award is closed out28 Nov 2029in 1137 days
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So the final report is due by 28 November 2029.

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Award card

Award number: 2612741
Period of support: 1 Aug 2026 – 31 Jul 2029
Amount: $425,000
Awardee: University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX
Program: SPSE-Study of Physics of Earth, ESH-Earth System Hazards
Directorate: GEO

Abstract

Large continental fault systems, such as the San Andreas in California, produce some of the most damaging earthquakes. Earthquakes happen when the rock on either side of a break in the crust suddenly shifts, and scientists have built many maps and models of these faults to help estimate where earthquakes are likely. Yet major earthquakes sometimes occur on faults that were not mapped, or they spread between fault…

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